The Reserve Bank of India’s decision to maintain the status quo on rates would help in a full-fledged economic revival but bankers and market participants are awaiting clear signals on liquidity normalisation.
Signs of recovery
Raj Kiran Rai G, Chairman, Indian Banks’ Association, and Managing Director and CEO, Union Bank, said, “Today’s policy is announced against the back drop of nascent signals of recovery of the domestic economy and mixed cues from the global economy.”
Since the price situation is under control for the time being, the central bank has given more focus on growth momentum in this policy also, he added.
Tapering excess liquidity
While the RBI has given a roadmap for tapering of excess liquidity from the system in a calibrated manner without disrupting government borrowing programme and liquidity needs of the economy, Rai said clear signals to the market will help the participants manage their liquidity needs well.
“The commitment to accommodative stance reaffirms the RBI’s commitment to support economic revival,” said AK Das, Managing Director and CEO, Bank of India.
Zarin Daruwala, Cluster CEO – India and South Asia Markets, Standard Chartered Bank, also said the MPC has reinforced its commitment to growth by continuing with its accommodative stance and holding the repo rate.
“The RBI’s latest economic forecast also points to a robust recovery amidst lower inflation,” she added.
An SBI Ecowrap report said it expects that the normalisation of reverse repo and repo corridor may be possibly delayed beyond December.
HSBC Global Research in a note said, “While the RBI kept rates and stance unchanged as expected, we think it took important steps to prepare the market for future policy normalisation.”
It expects the policy corridor to be narrowed over December and February, but repo rate hikes will only follow in the second half of 2022.